Deportes Mole previews Thursday’s Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Vélez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible line-ups.
Velez Sarsfield are about to reach the quarterfinals of the Libertadores Cup for the first time since 2012 while leading Silver river by a score of 1-0 heading into the second leg of that knockout match on Wednesday.
La Banda suffered its first defeat of the tournament last Wednesday, while Liniers’ team has gone four consecutive games without winning away from home in all competitions.
After scoring 18 times in the opening phase of this tournament, not many people would have expected River Plate to be sidelined against a team like Vélez Sarsfield, who conceded the most goals (11) of any team that advanced to the round of 16. final this year. .
That loss ended a 10-match unbeaten streak for Los Millionarios in the Libertadores round of 16, a streak that dated back to 2017.
If this group had a weakness before that loss, it might have been how they play when trailing, as River had only been awarded first place once in this competition prior to their loss to Sarsfield, and failed to win that other game either. tying Fortaleza 1-1 after allowing Silvio Romero to score the first goal in the fourth minute.
After being eliminated by Independiente del Valle at this stage of the 2016 event, the four-time Libertadores champions have never lost a home-and-away match in the opening phase of the knockout round, capturing the title in 2018.
marcelo gallardo he has always given his players the green light to take risks with quick ball movements in a tiki-taka approach that has allowed his team to put pressure on their opponents in most of their encounters.
Such tactics have often been a recipe for success, although of late they have not been able to shut down the central channels as well as we are used to seeing, conceding four goals in their last two games in all competitions.
To succeed against a team with River Plate’s kind of firepower, you can’t show an ounce of intimidation, and Velez Sarsfield are one of the few teams that seem to relish the opportunity to take on the Argentine giants.
In 10 previous meetings against them in this competition, Sarsfield has allowed a goal or less on nine occasions, losing just once in regulation time.
Alexander Medinawho took over this team at the end of May, has implemented a mid-block system based on a high-pressure approach with his players pushing in numbers to provoke mistakes from their opponents.
That tactic worked well in the opening game of this tie, as they were able to take a penalty and take the lead after a quarter of an hour, which was all they needed to claim victory.
When they can count first, Sarsfield are a frustrating team to play against as they drop back with numerous players behind the ball and don’t allow you many chances inside the box.
He hasn’t missed a 1-0 win since the beginning of May and hasn’t lost a game by scoring first since matchday three of this tournament in which El Fortín conceded a brace to Emmanuel Gigliotti in a 2-1 loss to Nacional.
State of form of the Copa Libertadores of River Plate:
River Plate form (all competitions):
Vélez Sarsfield Copa Libertadores form:
Form of Vélez Sarsfield (all competitions):
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez Y Julian Alvarez each scored for River Plate in a losing effort this weekend against Huracán, while Jose Paradela he collected his second assist in the second phase of the domestic campaign.
Álvarez has six goals so far in this competition, one less than Rafael Navarro of Palmeiras for the Golden Boot, Enzo Fernandez is tied at four for second place in that category, along with Nicholas of the Cross, Essekiel Ship Y Matias Suarezweather Elijah Gomez he leads them in assists with three.
de la Cruz is recovering from an Achilles tendon injury that could keep him sidelined until the end of July, while david martinez had a tough start in the first leg of this tie, as his entry into the area gave Sarsfield a penalty that the goalkeeper frank armani I could not stop.
Strong streak of the striker from El Fortín luke jason helped his team win that penalty which converted, his fourth goal of the tournament, two more than Matthias de los Santosweather luca orellano he is the first on the team in assists with three.
Goalie luke holes saved four shots in the opening game against River Plate for his second clean sheet of the competition, while goals from lucas pratto, abel osorioplus a brace from Janson saw them progress to the round of 16 with a 4-0 win over Estudiantes in their final group stage meeting.
Medina put out a completely different starting 11 on Saturday compared to the team we saw a week ago against River Plate, with leonardo burian starting in goal, while the three forwards were made up of Osorio, Julian Fernandez Y Gianluca Prestianni.
Possible River Plate starting eleven:
Armani; Helmet, Martinez, Diaz, Mammana; Perez; Palavecino, Paradela, Fernandez; Alvarez, Beltran
Vélez Sarsfield possible starting lineup:
holes; Jara, de los Santos, Gomez, Ortega; Orellano, Garayalde, Perrone, Janson, Pratto, Castro
We say: River Plate 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
River Plate were not at their best in last week’s opening match, but the reputation they have is not earned by luck, and this is a resilient group that knows how to handle any situation that comes its way.
It’s hard to imagine that Vélez Sarsfield can keep Los Millonarios at bay for the second straight game, especially at home, where River have scored 14 times in three Libertadores games this year.
For data analysis of the most probable results, scores and more for this match, click here.
Our expert betting partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they’re predicting for this game and for more of their tried and tested soccer tips.Less than 3.5:data